With the regular season coming to an end, and the Hart Trophy race at its most contentious in years, I planned to make a model predicting how the voting would turn out. Instead of going through the steps to determine which stats are most predictive and which stats measure the "player judged most valuable to his team", I decided to use the perfect criteria set forth by ESPN's Senior NHL Writer, Greg Wyshynski. These are by far the most logical and rational guidelines, so the results of this calculation are absolutely flawless.
The Wyshynski Score is calculated as follows:
The Wyshynski Score is calculated as follows:
Percent of Teams Points Scored by Player * 10
+
(0.579 - Team PTS%) * (if < 0, 10, else 0)
+
Player Points / 2nd Best Player on the Team Points
+
Player Points Per Game (20 GP. min)
To validate this methodology, Taylor Hall is number one! so this method must be correct. Furthermore, Connor McDavid, the best and most valuable player in the league, is in 10th place- now we know this calculation is super spot-on.
Now that this convoluted list of criteria with no relation to the actual meaning of the trophy has been computed, here are the results!
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