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Showing posts from January, 2018

Era Adjustments (Part 3)

All data via nhl.com In this update, I have added the first 50 NHL seasons to my data, as well as changed the source to the newest NHL.com stats, which are described as more accurate. Now, in summary, I have the adjusted points values for every NHL season using the most accurate point totals available. I also created some new visuals and a hall of fame score, which will be explained below. As a note, for seasonal and career stats, only seasons were used in which the given player played: GP >= max possible GP / 2. This was done to ensure the distribution represented all NHL regulars. You may notice some seasons are missing or point totals are off (ex. Marcel Dionne's '88-89 was omitted from analysis and totals because he only played in 37 games, and 37 < 80/2. Here are updated graphs from my previous parts. HOF analysis will be below and updated Tableau  As you may notice, the earlier seasons of the NHL were much more volatile, which we should expect as the le

Era Adjustments (Part 2)

**Part 3 Includes HOF likelihood score and Tableau with all 100 seasons and more accurate data** http://threepointgames.blogspot.com/2018/01/era-adjustments-part-3.html This is a continuation of my first post seen  here . At the end of my last post, I mentioned several areas which I hoped to update, and in this post, I will address new changes. The first change I made was switching the goal rate multiplier to a point rate multiplier. The relationship between these two is very strong, so the change wasn't too significant. This broadly means that over the last 50 years the NHL has generally assigned assists per goal at an even rate. I was also able to add the 2016-17 season to the data. The next change I made was in the multiplier calculation. Originally, I converted each season from individual observations into percentiles so the seasons could be compared (different number of players each season). The percentile bins had different numbers of observations so this required